Verified backtest

Kirby Ultimate Trader

Two strategies, one account · Two-year simulation window: 2024-07-24 → 2026-07-09 · starting capital $100,000 · trend risk 2.5% · 2-year backtest · simulated
+$94,515
Total profit (2 years)
+94.51%
Total return (2 years)
+40.70%
Annualized return
2.65
Sharpe ratio
-15.11%
Max drawdown

Simulated results on historical data. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Combined equity curve — $100,000 start, one shared pool, unsmoothed

$203k$174k$146k$117k$88k2024-07-242025-01-172025-07-172026-01-092026-07-09

The two engines, measured separately

Run on the same $100,000 over the same window, the trend engine returns +61.95% on its own and the grid engine +56.36%. Combined in one account, Kirby Ultimate Trader returns +94.51% — because cash one engine isn’t using is immediately put to work by the other.

Trend engine alone

Full account, no grid
+61.95%
Total return
+28.08%
Annualized
2.64
Sharpe
-13.28%
Max drawdown
$166k$147k$128k$109k$89k2024-07-242025-01-172025-07-172026-01-092026-07-09

Grid engine alone

Full account, no trend
+56.36%
Total return
+25.79%
Annualized
1.98
Sharpe
-11.16%
Max drawdown
$164k$146k$128k$109k$91k2024-07-242025-01-172025-07-172026-01-092026-07-09

Return by calendar year

Engine2024*20252026 YTD
Trend alone+9.30%+24.66%+18.86%
Grid alone+2.68%+28.92%+18.12%
Combined+8.00%+41.79%+27.02%

* 2024 is a partial year (from 2024-07-24); 2026 is year-to-date. Combined = the account as Kirby Ultimate Trader runs it.

The compounding view

The total return is what the account made across the whole window. The annualized figure is the compounding rate — the rate that, repeated each year, produces that total. The table below shows the account value itself at each year end, so the growing base is visible rather than implied.

YearAccount at startAccount at endReturnGain
2024$100,000$108,002+8.00%$8,002
2025$108,002$153,142+41.79%$45,139
2026$153,142$194,515+27.02%$41,373

Each engine on its own, same $100,000 start:

EngineStart202420252026
Trend alone$100,000$109,303$136,258$161,953
Grid alone$100,000$102,676$132,370$156,359
Combined$100,000$108,002$153,142$194,515

Arithmetic check: the yearly returns multiply out to each headline total for all three tests. No forward projections appear here — these are realized values inside the tested window only.

How the capital works

Two strategies share one account with no artificial split. Capital that one strategy isn’t using is immediately available to the other — so your money is never benched by an allocation rule. The account’s cash is always available to the next opportunity, whichever strategy finds it: two independent strategies, each with its own market and its own rules, drawing from one shared pool.

Method: two-year window 2024-07-24 to 2026-07-09, $100,000 starting capital for each test, trend engine sized at 2.5% risk per trade, spread/slippage/fees modeled. The combined result is the genuine one-account shared-ledger simulation — the same way Kirby Ultimate Trader runs live — not a blend of the two separate tests. Dividends are modeled explicitly: prices are adjusted for splits only, shares held at the ex-dividend date earn the dividend, and the cash is credited on the pay date and redeployed as available capital. Dividends are credited gross and results are shown pre-tax — no withholding, capital gains or income tax is modeled, and actual after-tax results depend on your own tax situation. Note that paper accounts do not receive dividends, so a paper account will track lower than these figures while a real-money account collects the cash. Simulated results on historical data; past performance does not guarantee future results.